No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $847.21
- Potential payout
- $931
- Potential profit
- $83.79
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $191.2
Polymarket Trader
cosmicsteaks
0xf4f88a1e25ff5dfae68326eb62049d6a1b7c5bf1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.49K
- Realized PnL
- $21.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $40.74
- Potential payout
- $905.38
- Potential profit
- $864.63
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.24
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $884
- Potential profit
- $866.76
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$53.18
Yes position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $869.78
- Potential profit
- $865.43
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$521.54
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $847.24
- Potential profit
- $847.24
- User PnL
- -$179.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $581.08
- Potential payout
- $796
- Potential profit
- $214.92
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $278.6
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $610.78
- Potential payout
- $694.07
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Under position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $656.74
- Potential profit
- $656.74
- User PnL
- -$121
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $602.37
- Potential profit
- $602.37
- User PnL
- -$147.55
Yes position
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $95.87
- Potential payout
- $581
- Potential profit
- $485.14
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$26.14
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $186.34
- Potential payout
- $484
- Potential profit
- $297.66
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$26.62
No position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $272.85
- Potential payout
- $483
- Potential profit
- $210.15
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $111.64
Yes position
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $61.31
- Potential payout
- $468
- Potential profit
- $406.69
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- $17.11
No position
Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $425.17
- Potential payout
- $446.14
- Potential profit
- $20.97
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.18
Under position
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $421
- Potential profit
- $406.1
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.57
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $414.12
- Potential profit
- $406.04
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$135.63
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $297.14
- Potential payout
- $385.89
- Potential profit
- $88.76
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $34.04
Team Evictix position
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $378.81
- Potential payout
- $379
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $125.33
Y
Yes position
England leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.27
- Potential profit
- $351.27
- User PnL
- -$154.56
No position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.68
- Potential profit
- $350.68
- User PnL
- -$298.08
Division One position
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $317
- Potential profit
- $316.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
No position
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $254.15
- Potential payout
- $299
- Potential profit
- $44.85
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $144.5
- Potential payout
- $289
- Potential profit
- $144.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
No position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $249.86
- Potential payout
- $285.56
- Potential profit
- $35.69
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $69.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Baltimore Orioles position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Bangladesh win?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.62
Chicago White Sox position
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.89
Kansas City Royals position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.79
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.4
Under position
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.07
Yes position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.06
N
No position
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Draw at halftime?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.33
Y
Yes position
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.45
Yes position
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.96
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.59
Yes position
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.28
Chicago White Sox position
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.66
N
No position
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Draw at halftime?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.42
CCG Esports position
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.44
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.69
Arizona Diamondbacks position
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.2
Minnesota Twins position
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesYes 28% 5 shares
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesNo 79% 30 shares
- Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Yes 74% 58 shares
- Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Yes 74% 29 shares
- Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageDivision One 1% 317 shares
- Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageTeam Evictix 54% 50 shares
- Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageTeam Evictix 33% 38 shares
- Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageTeam Evictix 26.9% 33 shares
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime 88% 29 shares
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis 11% 13 shares
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime 76.5% 32.15 shares
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers 93.8% 474.55 shares