Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $409.05
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $600.95
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $307.55
Polymarket Trader
kbd
0xf50124e024ed3f947502f8bf26afa4d77f47fa89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $513.68
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.58
- Potential profit
- $368.58
- User PnL
- -$56.92
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.2%
- Current value
- $97.53
- Potential payout
- $334.58
- Potential profit
- $237.05
- Multiplier
- 3.43x
- User PnL
- $67.58
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $71.51
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $36.38
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $659.24
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $264
Warriors position
Clippers vs. Warriors
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.73
Yes position
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.5
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.68
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Yes position
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.1
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.66
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $18.97
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.1% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 99.8% 663.65 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 10.5% 94.58 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 31% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 5% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 48% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 13% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 6.1% 140 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 19.3% 180 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 18.8% 188.57 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 6.9% 25 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 36.2% 27.62 shares