0xf518...31d5

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $8.44
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.97

No position

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $921.71
Potential payout: $924.94
Potential profit: $3.24
User PnL: $921.71

No position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $257.97
Potential payout: $593.04
Potential profit: $335.07
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $257.97

No position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $485.03
Potential payout: $494.68
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $485.03

No position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $487.87
Potential payout: $493.54
Potential profit: $5.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $487.87

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $399.61
Potential payout: $484.38
Potential profit: $84.77
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $399.61

Yes position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $261.93
Potential payout: $463.68
Potential profit: $201.75
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $82.56

Yes position

Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $446.17
Potential profit: $444.16
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $408.87
Potential payout: $416.58
Potential profit: $7.71
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.13

No position

Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $388.64
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: $388.64

Yes position

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $332.09
Potential profit: $330.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $303.64
Potential payout: $305.01
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: $303.64

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.79
Potential profit: $256.79
User PnL: -$104.05

Yes position

Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $239.29
Potential profit: $236.3
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$14.27

No position

Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $168.81
Potential payout: $220.66
Potential profit: $51.86
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $141.36
Potential payout: $192.33
Potential profit: $50.97
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $141.36

No position

Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $157.55
Potential payout: $177.03
Potential profit: $19.47
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $12.39

No position

Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $134.04
Potential payout: $135.73
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $134.04

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $135.48
Potential profit: $130.6
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $22.89
Potential payout: $130.79
Potential profit: $107.9
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $29.09
Potential payout: $123.79
Potential profit: $94.7
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $10.19

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $114.14
Potential profit: $110.77
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $91.81

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $90.21

Yes position

Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $28.83

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 8.7%
Multiplier: 11.56x
User PnL: $26.66

Montana Grizzlies position

Northern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzlies

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.48

Yes position

Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich?

Ends Sep 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.48

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Implied probability: 13.1%
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: $8.76

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $5.52

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 85.7%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 59.7%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$4.74

No position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.9%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5.04

Northern Colorado Bears position

Northern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzlies

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.94

No position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?