N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
0xf51b...ca1b
0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $67.5
- Realized PnL
- $2.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $187.16
- Potential profit
- $187.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $115.31
- Potential profit
- $113.52
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.7
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $98.66
- Potential profit
- $98.07
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $90.38
- Potential profit
- $90.02
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $65.15
- Potential profit
- $65.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.33
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $59.69
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $61.98
- Potential profit
- $61.49
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $59.59
- Potential profit
- $59.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.65
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $48.42
- Potential profit
- $47.79
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $38.96
- Potential payout
- $42.12
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $31.24
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $40.41
- Potential profit
- $39.1
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $37.94
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $33.88
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $32.66
- Potential profit
- $31.29
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $31.66
- Potential profit
- $31.55
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $27.25
- Potential profit
- $24.93
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $22.95
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $26.3
- Potential profit
- $26.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.31
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $24.75
- Potential profit
- $23.78
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $21.52
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $20.54
- Potential profit
- $17.97
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.51
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?Yes 11% 20.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?No 92% 3.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?No 92% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 90% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?No 89% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 87.9% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?No 31% 6.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 79% 24.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?Yes 99.9% 6.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 88% 3.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?No 99% 7.03 shares