Polymarket Trader

sddx4

0xf51c51c7f5ecf091c71c3a81082912b0bd77f9f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $148.18
Realized PnL: $86.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $57.65
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $3.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$34.1

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $39.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $19.68
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

No position

ChatGPT Outage by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 42 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9?

Yes 98.4% 20 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 71.4% 43.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 95% 90.02 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?

Yes 99.1% 110 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 53 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 23?

Yes 96.9% 49.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?

No 99.9% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 99% 69.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 99% 69.9 shares
Ducks vs. Wild

Wild 99.9% 75 shares