Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $687.03
- Potential profit
- $687.03
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Polymarket Trader
garbagecollect4
0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.63
- Realized PnL
- $607.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $101.34
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.91
- Potential profit
- $39.91
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Divya Deshmukh win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.16
- Potential profit
- $32.16
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Y
Yes position
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$24.97
No position
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.01
- Potential profit
- $28.01
- User PnL
- -$22.69
No position
Will Lucien Dodge as Akaza (Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$20.65
No position
US bank failure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$15.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$18.79
No position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$20.4
N
No position
Will "Peter" be said 3+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $20.52
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $22.99
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$16.46
No position
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $16.56
- Potential payout
- $20.58
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.09
- Potential profit
- $19.09
- User PnL
- -$15.5
No position
Will the Patek Index hit $105,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.97
- Potential profit
- $18.97
- User PnL
- -$12.39
N
No position
Will Sweden be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.9%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- -$6.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$14.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.34
- Potential profit
- $17.34
- User PnL
- -$14.39
No position
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.32
- Potential profit
- $17.32
- User PnL
- -$13.79
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$11.2
No position
Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.84
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.63
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
No position
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $21.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.16
N
No position
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $16.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 71% 10.3 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?No 78% 6 shares
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 83% 10 shares
- Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 75% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?No 91% 16.5 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No 63% 8 shares
- Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 85% 0.79 shares
- Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?No 64% 5.67 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes 75% 6 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 63.6% 7.6 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 0.53 shares
- Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?No 70% 5 shares