Polymarket Trader

Evan-Mars

0xf52eee826c5c586e32f796eff1adfec686e91663

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $415.36
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.75
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.98
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $33.98
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $33.42
Potential payout: $33.44
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.97
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $29.37
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $28.92
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.55
Potential payout: $29.56
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.41
Potential payout: $21.42
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.37
Potential payout: $19.41
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.63
Potential payout: $12.64
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Down 14% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Down 71% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Down 77% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Down 74% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?

Yes 84% 10.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 19.8% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

No 99.9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?

No 98.2% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

No 19.3% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

No 85% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?

No 87% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?

Yes 75.4% 29.99 shares