No position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $184.89
- Potential payout
- $191
- Potential profit
- $6.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Polymarket Trader
dayset
@trump20001017
0xf542dfe4b975d104ea8eeef569da8b61fedc32ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.89
- Realized PnL
- $218.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.5
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Another Trump x Putin talk in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will XRP reach $6.00 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.5% 191 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?No 98.6% 267.91 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No 99.8% 71.46 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.6% 147.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 27?No 98% 80.12 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 25?No 99.6% 223 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?No 99.8% 159 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?No 99.8% 63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.2% 154.32 shares
- Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?No 99.1% 128.67 shares
- Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No 99% 30 shares
- Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?No 98.9% 100 shares