Polymarket Trader

marielle

0xf54eae5ddb1e858995bc8b6a049fda155dda8efd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $818.3
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Warriors position

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.43K
User PnL: -$2.26K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.8%
Current value: $645.17
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $416.84
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$4.78

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $135.52
Potential payout: $224
Potential profit: $88.48
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$10.08

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $37.62
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.79
Potential profit: $37.79
User PnL: -$30.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

Lakers position

Jazz vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Nuggets position

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$8.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$125

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

76ers vs. Celtics

Celtics 88% 41.85 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 65% 224 shares
Jazz vs. Lakers

Lakers 90% 79.76 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

No 69% 18.58 shares
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?

No 82% 37.79 shares
Celtics vs. Knicks

Knicks 62% 51.41 shares
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets

Nuggets 96.7% 45.95 shares
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

No 81% 37.78 shares
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

Warriors 51% 4,426 shares
Lakers vs. Heat: O/U 239.5

Over 52% 2,257 shares