Polymarket Trader

Psigelmann

0xf5591f904a5a10cf7172da29dc726d714fa3a641

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.69
Realized PnL: $85.44
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $44.16
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.39
Potential profit: $39.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $28.49
Potential profit: $19.19
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $14.03
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $16.78
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $3.44

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.22
Potential profit: $18.22
User PnL: -$11.84

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.5
Potential profit: $16.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$1

Sinner position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.78

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 54.35 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.1% 28.49 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 55.55 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 83.33 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 58.82 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 57% 52.63 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 50% 19.6 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.5% 253.45 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.9% 253.45 shares