Polymarket Trader

rdsantos

0xf565241b9f5b36da0cb33059a292551530bd1468

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.5
Realized PnL: -$2.09
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $130.49
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $6.92
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $82.37
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$3.08

No position

Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.8%
Current value: $18.38
Potential payout: $68.59
Potential profit: $50.21
Multiplier: 3.73x
User PnL: $13.38

Yes position

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $66.74
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.43

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.33
Potential profit: $63.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $42.85
Potential profit: $38.4
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $35.95
Potential profit: $33.54
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $25.06
Potential profit: $21.34
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.94
Potential profit: $10.94
User PnL: -$2.68

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.16
Potential profit: $7.16
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 5.4% 68 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 27.8% 35.95 shares
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 11.2% 89.29 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Yes 24.5% 10.94 shares
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 26% 3.85 shares
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 15% 6.67 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 8.9% 25.06 shares
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Yes 8% 27.77 shares
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?

No 13.8% 42.86 shares
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?

No 7.3% 68.59 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?

No 1.9% 263.16 shares
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares