Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $261.97K
- Potential profit
- $259.74K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$231.06
Polymarket Trader
PropheticFire
0xf566870ca3c50e5863275364fa6d764f8e8f1386
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.16K
- Realized PnL
- $59.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $45.03K
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $16.05K
- Potential payout
- $37.77K
- Potential profit
- $21.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $437.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.56K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$62.2
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.69K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$17.86
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.95K
- Potential profit
- $7.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$550
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95K
- Potential profit
- $5.95K
- User PnL
- -$2.73K
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$18.65
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$733.62
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Yes position
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.72
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $37.8
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$232.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$76.08
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $25.16
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$191.35
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$126.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $572
- Potential profit
- $572
- User PnL
- -$20.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.01K
Yes position
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86K
No position
Daniel Penny found guilty?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Will Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Daniel Penny found guilty of manslaughter?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Trump position
Who will lead on 538 on Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.79
No position
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Ends Oct 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.64
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
No position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $669.26
Trump position
Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.6
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $468.01
No position
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.3
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.72
No position
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.99
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.93
No position
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.8
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 8.7% 400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 14% 3,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 6% 2,500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 30% 400 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 29% 1,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 44.7% 1,700 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 57% 1,500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 57% 3,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 65% 2,100 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 80% 1,230.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 22% 700 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.1% 5,000 shares