Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $136.47
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
1p0nh5oocr64
0xf56c9ca655369791f3a2448239ab380db739837a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.43
- Realized PnL
- $77.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $75.86
- Potential profit
- $73.7
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $23.22
- Potential profit
- $23.16
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $21.34
- Potential profit
- $18.46
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $3.44
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $1.77
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Daniel Altmaier position
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.85
Tampa Bay Rays position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
Aleksandar Kovacevic position
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Cleveland Guardians position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Cincinnati Reds position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Tommy Gantt position
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Michael Zheng position
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Tommy Paul position
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Learner Tien position
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Emma Navarro position
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Alina Korneeva position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Jazmin Ortenzi
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Arthur Rinderknech position
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djere
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Alex de Minaur position
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Camilo Ugo Carabelli position
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Ignacio Buse position
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Kolkata Knight Riders position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Alexei Popyrin position
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Sinja Kraus position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Noma Noha Akugue
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 137.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83% 0.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80.6% 0.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84% 0.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77% 0.02 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 10% 11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 74.9% 0.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.1% 0.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.1% 0.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 64.6% 0.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 64.6% 0.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 64.7% 0.05 shares