Polymarket Trader

Asteflo9500

0xf572e5bb6aabe46473adaa11b588871979356f37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $326.7
Realized PnL: $286.2
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.8K
Potential profit: $67.8K
User PnL: -$67.8

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $326.7
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$176.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.83

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.99

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.22

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 19.3% 456.85 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 27.59 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Yes 2.8% 608.8 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 147.98 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 26.5% 1,510.7 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 23% 68 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 1.3% 561.11 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 44% 20.4 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 1.4% 450 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 82% 7.5 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 112.5 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Yes 4.1% 121.95 shares