No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Polymarket Trader
shadowpilot.h
0xf574052a80b2156f93aee7a426d122a3d1c4d080
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.14
- Realized PnL
- $5.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $3.14
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $3.04
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 3.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70% 4 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 46% 3.04 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 56% 5 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 63% 5 shares