Lightning position
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$821.7
Polymarket Trader
bxbdhws
0xf588577d716e25b27ab29b8845cf3e9acb6417a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $176.76
- Realized PnL
- $2.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $176.76
- Potential payout
- $187.05
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.39
- Potential profit
- $85.39
- User PnL
- -$62.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Kings position
Mavericks vs. Kings
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Under position
Louisville vs. Miami: O/U 51.5
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.71
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Clippers
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No 99.9% 121.38 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 86% 13.09 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No 98.4% 108.17 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 97.4% 20.55 shares
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning 37% 2,220.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No 75% 41.79 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No 96% 14.65 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No 99.3% 16.69 shares
- Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Yes 99.3% 30.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No 97.7% 30.43 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?No 99.8% 29.73 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No 96.9% 29.67 shares