q6f3h8

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.17
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $124.87
Potential profit: $116.08
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.04
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $69.34
Potential profit: $68.27
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $61.74
Potential profit: $60.57
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $41.07
Potential profit: $39.92
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.49
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.36
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.45
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.44
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.46
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.25
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.94
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.8%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.4%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?