Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Polymarket Trader
muddyrc
@MuddyRC
0xf58b1c1340d6f8c0871e8ea8ee7b80ec6b8a5f34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.59K
- Realized PnL
- $37.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$839.99
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $332.38
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$327.44
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$572
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $680.83
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$104.84
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $378.95
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$401.4
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $62.8
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$224
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$327
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $214.41
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $253.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $106.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$580.01
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $87
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $979.99
- Potential profit
- $979.99
- User PnL
- -$67.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $372
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $428
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$244
Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $595.99
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $204
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $738.78
- Potential payout
- $799.98
- Potential profit
- $61.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $65.8
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $213
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $387
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$117
Ronaldo position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $44.99
- Potential payout
- $599.88
- Potential profit
- $554.89
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$189.96
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $535.88
- Potential payout
- $539.66
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- User PnL
- $61.23
Jenson Brooksby position
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$155
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $961.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.97
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.65
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.56
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.39
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.09
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 30% 1,000 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 24% 500 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 29% 689.66 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 31% 400 shares
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?Yes 54% 200 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 26% 300 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 14% 249.99 shares
- Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Yes 29% 120.69 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 29% 137.93 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Over 62% 80.65 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 58% 86.21 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 29% 100 shares