Polymarket Trader

0xf58C001F9ACED8aa9543d9865B5442D4D9292747-1730683784020

0xf58c001f9aced8aa9543d9865b5442d4d9292747

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $951.55
Realized PnL: $2.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $72.54
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$7.46

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $63.59
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $23.59
Potential payout: $928.57
Potential profit: $904.99
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$26.41

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $64.39
Potential payout: $513.1
Potential profit: $448.71
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $419.49
Potential payout: $458.45
Potential profit: $38.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $19.49

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $49.87
Potential payout: $252.53
Potential profit: $202.65
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $19.92
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $149.58
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $29.33
Potential payout: $167.61
Potential profit: $138.27
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$20.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $20.79
Potential payout: $159.91
Potential profit: $139.12
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$54.21

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $24.22
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $132.03
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $121.14
Potential profit: $112.05
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$15.91

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.85
Potential profit: $109.85
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $55.85
Potential payout: $92.31
Potential profit: $36.46
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $20.24
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $27.38
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $23.66
Potential payout: $47.33
Potential profit: $23.66
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.32

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.85

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.84

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.35

Warriors position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.13

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

No position

Doge ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.66

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.43

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 16% 156.25 shares
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 22% 68.18 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 1,428.57 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 396.83 shares
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 1,086.96 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 252.53 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?

Yes 77% 62.5 shares
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?

Yes 2.4% 85 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares