Polymarket Trader

captainrabbit

0xf596b60b1656ee6277c5e584c7c8203fc01a8c31

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $136.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.51K
Potential profit: $196.51K
User PnL: -$4.23K

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.85K
Potential profit: $67.85K
User PnL: -$7.46K

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.2K
Potential profit: $24.2K
User PnL: -$2.68K

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.37K
Potential profit: $21.37K
User PnL: -$38.75

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.47K
Potential profit: $9.47K
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.04K
Potential profit: $9.04K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.24K
Potential profit: $8.24K
User PnL: -$1.65K

Yes position

Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$153

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$95.42

Yes position

Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$399.02

No position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$312.76

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $861.75
Potential profit: $861.75
User PnL: -$189.59

Yes position

Will the Democratic candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.15
Potential profit: $402.15
User PnL: -$28.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.37K

Yes position

Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.89K

Yes position

Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31K

Yes position

Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.43

Yes position

Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.92

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $887.64

Harris position

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.22

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $644.28

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Ukraine" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

No position

Annual inflation above 2.5% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.04

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.21

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $437.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1%?

No 99.8% 124.35 shares
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?

No 99.3% 242.85 shares
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Yes 0.6% 1,318.77 shares
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?

Yes 0.1% 1,444.82 shares
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Yes 1.5% 26,201.7 shares
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Yes 1.8% 999 shares
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?

Yes 97.2% 2,551.48 shares
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Yes 97% 7,359.63 shares
Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?

Yes 99% 4,727.74 shares
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Yes 97.1% 5 shares
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?

No 3% 200 shares
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%?

No 97.4% 5 shares