No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?
Ends Jun 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
new12
0xf5a4e60cda2c5fbef42ff9c268f8b736b1aa1d88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.62
- Realized PnL
- $15.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
@nubcat unsuspended from X by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Ethereum all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
DeepSeek V4 released before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" 5 or more times during victory rally?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 98.5% 5.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 97.9% 2.04 shares
- Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No 82% 1.22 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by October 3?No 99.3% 1.01 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 95% 1.05 shares