Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $20.07
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Polymarket Trader
Po1yBot-ybQi0XclL2
0xf5b3f38b3cfc9101f80621d27fd8448867fc4d69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $158.87
- Realized PnL
- $611.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $547.2
- Potential profit
- $543.1
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.53
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $39.6
- Potential payout
- $99
- Potential profit
- $59.4
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $35.69
- Potential payout
- $95.18
- Potential profit
- $59.49
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $59.4
- Potential payout
- $70.71
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $19.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.46
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.83
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.64
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.52
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.48
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.75
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.16
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.18
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.76
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.09
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 3.9% 431.77 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 14% 69.47 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes 11% 420.2 shares
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?No 32% 57.55 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?No 13% 10 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 29% 87.35 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?No 5% 41.88 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes 11% 65.13 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 33% 14.61 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 41.8% 157.97 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?No 30% 49.5 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes 11.4% 185.63 shares