No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $100.34
- Potential payout
- $101.25
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- User PnL
- $19.34
Polymarket Trader
0xf5b4...d851
0xf5b422b3b55e99845feec87a41f25d3964bed851
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $189.67
- Realized PnL
- $46.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $72.58
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $42.95
- Potential payout
- $46.43
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.95
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $31.35
- Potential payout
- $46.1
- Potential profit
- $14.75
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.05
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No 90% 11.11 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 97.3% 43 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 56% 46.43 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No 80% 101.25 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No 75.9% 46.1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 58% 86.21 shares
- José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No 90% 111.11 shares