No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $95.58
- Potential payout
- $100.98
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.03
Polymarket Trader
mustmustmust
0xf5b7c8e5721297bcde4034d6168bc59d6867d3d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.39
- Realized PnL
- $34.02
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $5.74
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $5.57
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Solana all time high in Q4?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Circle IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Berachain launch a token in November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No 99.8% 33.55 shares
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales 56% 100 shares
- Cardano ETF in 2025?No 16% 6.9 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes 26% 6.78 shares
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes 46% 8.06 shares
- Circle IPO in 2025?Yes 84.9% 6.89 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 97.6% 6 shares
- Solana ETF approved in 2025?Yes 93.4% 5 shares
- Cardano ETF in 2025?No 80% 6.9 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes 63% 6.78 shares
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes 72% 8.06 shares
- Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes 53% 8 shares