Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
V4grant
0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.7K
- Realized PnL
- $2.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $493.11
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $839.62
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $93.11
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $532
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $481.33
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $586.83
- Potential payout
- $798.41
- Potential profit
- $211.58
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $286.83
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $308.1
- Potential payout
- $481.41
- Potential profit
- $173.31
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $108.6
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $435.55
- Potential payout
- $465.33
- Potential profit
- $29.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $135.55
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $156.01
- Potential payout
- $315.17
- Potential profit
- $159.16
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$43.99
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $257.56
- Potential payout
- $314.1
- Potential profit
- $56.54
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $99.06
- Potential payout
- $254.01
- Potential profit
- $154.95
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $91.52
- Potential payout
- $244.06
- Potential profit
- $152.54
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.48
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $218.78
- Potential payout
- $241.75
- Potential profit
- $22.97
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.78
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $241.69
- Potential profit
- $239.88
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $50.22
- Potential payout
- $228.28
- Potential profit
- $178.06
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$49.78
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $28.75
- Potential payout
- $221.14
- Potential profit
- $192.39
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$21.25
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $131.61
- Potential payout
- $215.75
- Potential profit
- $84.14
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $31.61
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $153.46
- Potential payout
- $199.29
- Potential profit
- $45.84
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $53.46
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $195.93
- Potential profit
- $190.74
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.08
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.58
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $52.94
- Potential payout
- $160.41
- Potential profit
- $107.47
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$47.06
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $77.34
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $78.91
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$22.66
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $147.64
- Potential profit
- $127.7
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$30.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.67
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.31
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $135.19
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.64
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.24
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.12
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.51
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.37
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.67
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.26
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.84
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $76.06
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.55
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.43
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.52
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $65.8
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.11
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.2
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No 94.8% 42.19 shares
- Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No 6.4% 47.02 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 63.5% 157.55 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 11% 27.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 97.3% 51.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 33.33 shares
- Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 9% 33.33 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 9% 33.33 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 25% 32 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 29.63 shares