Polymarket Trader

waterpolo

0xf5bdc865a9ba76c3d1a76051668b7b2e531ceaa7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.26
Realized PnL: $538.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.99
Potential profit: $252.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.46
Potential profit: $101.46
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.18
Potential profit: $53.18
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.07
Potential profit: $41.07
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.18
Potential profit: $36.18
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.43
Potential profit: $33.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $11.86
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $16.71
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.89
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.3
Potential profit: $20.3
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $14.57
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $17.27
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $16.89
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $14.84
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 23?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Yes 52.2% 1.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares