Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.93K
- Potential profit
- $51.93K
- User PnL
- -$3.53K
Polymarket Trader
romanticpaul
0xf5cfe6f998d597085e366f915b140e82e0869fc6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.64K
- Realized PnL
- $591.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.01K
- Potential profit
- $36.01K
- User PnL
- -$4.09K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.97K
- Potential profit
- $26.97K
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.47K
- Potential profit
- $14.47K
- User PnL
- -$537.51
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.61K
- Potential profit
- $13.61K
- User PnL
- -$3.84K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $8.2K
- User PnL
- -$90.6
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.92K
- Potential payout
- $7.91K
- Potential profit
- $988.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.84K
- Potential profit
- $6.84K
- User PnL
- -$755.43
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.94K
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- User PnL
- -$428.28
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $5.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$497.03
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $32.89
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$225.27
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- User PnL
- -$469.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$973.24
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $700.2
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $121.63
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$235.25
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$977.02
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$473.44
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$34.57
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $852.22
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $221.78
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $168.72
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $782.05
- Potential profit
- $782.05
- User PnL
- -$23.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189.28K
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.35K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.97K
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.77K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.87K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.11K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.12K
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.28K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.7K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.31K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.64K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.32K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.78K
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.48K
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.98K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.67K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.62K
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.48K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.14K
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.13K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.9K
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.76K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 98.7% 1,831.28 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 98.6% 2,033.12 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 34% 9 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 34% 1 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 34% 26 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 34% 5 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 34% 9 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No 67.7% 168 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No 67% 4 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No 67% 4 shares
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No 67.7% 243 shares
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 51% 4 shares