Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $279.32
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$513.7
Polymarket Trader
SilentHunter
@polymaster
0xf5d1d070865cfac18c29aa9fc12eda659b9767cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.3K
- Realized PnL
- $15.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $249.32
- Potential payout
- $600.05
- Potential profit
- $350.73
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$50.7
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $248.64
- Potential payout
- $599.13
- Potential profit
- $350.49
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $517.34
- Potential profit
- $517.34
- User PnL
- -$331.22
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $104.28
- Potential payout
- $443.74
- Potential profit
- $339.46
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.22
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $110.06
- Potential payout
- $400.21
- Potential profit
- $290.15
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$56.48
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $230
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $399.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $121.8
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $321.99
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $88.8
- Potential payout
- $301
- Potential profit
- $212.2
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$62.7
Yes position
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $43.42
- Potential payout
- $299.47
- Potential profit
- $256.05
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $15.77
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $218.95
- Potential payout
- $254.6
- Potential profit
- $35.64
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $143.53
- Potential payout
- $222.52
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $22.3
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $177.71
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $158.91
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $41.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $91
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $109
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $48.71
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.9
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $34.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65.51
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $98.93
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $3.06K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $917.84
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $769.01
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.99
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.46
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.41
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $302.92
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.2
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.38
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.06
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.9
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.66
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 89% 400 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 0.5% 151.52 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Yes 0.2% 328.97 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?Yes 0.6% 155.05 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes 0.3% 400 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 11.7% 162.56 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 12.1% 37.44 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 15.1% 114.97 shares
- Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Yes 34% 5 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Up 46% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 94% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 29% 144.76 shares