Polymarket Trader

0xf5e0...41a8

0xf5e0b6fc06a08c1f30a16f862ad56f155b7141a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.42K
Realized PnL: $4.2K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $858.18
Potential payout: $887.01
Potential profit: $28.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $29.74

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $686.75
Potential payout: $703.27
Potential profit: $16.53
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $427.09
Potential payout: $509.65
Potential profit: $82.56
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $66.19

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $368.8
Potential payout: $368.99
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $56.58

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $341.36
Potential payout: $341.53
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $20.32

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $294.94
Potential payout: $295.53
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $55.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $266.26
Potential profit: $261.87
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$128.74

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.51
Potential profit: $262.51
User PnL: -$181.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.31
Potential profit: $199.31
User PnL: -$107

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.01
Potential profit: $195.01
User PnL: -$42.65

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $137.59
Potential payout: $162.83
Potential profit: $25.24
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $21.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.89
Potential profit: $146.89
User PnL: -$55.02

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.64
Potential profit: $134.64
User PnL: -$57.86

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $132.22
Potential payout: $132.55
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $43.49
Potential payout: $122.5
Potential profit: $79.02
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $121.06
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: $44.06

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $34.99
User PnL: -$24.45

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.08

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.67

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.23

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.15

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.5

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.73

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $72.39

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.44

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.08

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.14

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.24

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.13

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.47

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.91

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 41.5% 87.84 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 44.9% 46.09 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 51.2% 30.45 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 51.2% 33.28 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 51.2% 8.02 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 64.1% 102.74 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 60.8% 205.66 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 34% 20.32 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 34% 20.88 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 34% 34.35 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 34% 20.09 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 35% 20.97 shares