Polymarket Trader

0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983

0xf5e47caf8b2e23aa9230d70758bdb2c9747f471a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $483.08
Realized PnL: $7.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $10.42K
User PnL: -$128.59

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.09K
Potential profit: $10.09K
User PnL: -$220.89

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.46K
Potential profit: $9.46K
User PnL: -$48.77

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.54K
Potential profit: $7.54K
User PnL: -$38.16

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.87K
Potential profit: $6.87K
User PnL: -$51.66

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$26.02

No position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.88K
User PnL: -$68.06

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.69K
Potential profit: $5.69K
User PnL: -$232.95

No position

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.53K
User PnL: -$60.24

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.75K
User PnL: -$271.08

No position

Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $4.57K
User PnL: -$182.94

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$101.35

No position

Will Doly Begum win the by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$8.19

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$26.51

Yes position

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $483.08
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$207.83

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 20%+?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$16.78

Yes position

Will Social Democrats win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.4K
User PnL: -$7.87

Yes position

Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$52.48

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$470.99

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$60.3

No position

Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $3.01K
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$123.77

No position

Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$21.05

Yes position

Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$12.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.44

Yes position

Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.31

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $630.74

Yes position

Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 10% and 15%?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.84

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.1

No position

Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.85

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.97

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.91

No position

Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 5% and 10%?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.54

No position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $245.13

Yes position

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.7

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.13

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $212.94

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.38

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $201.53

Yes position

Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.07

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.31

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.32

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.36

No position

Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.56

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.64

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.48

No position

Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Yes 13% 280 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 3.4% 96.34 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 3.4% 294 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

No 6.6% 76.53 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

No 13% 158.33 shares
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Yes 14% 94 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 17% 5.18 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

No 22% 19.6 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

No 21% 25 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

No 45% 20 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?

No 22% 9.7 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

No 43.4% 90.12 shares