No position
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $49.03
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Polymarket Trader
genderCHAT
0xf5ea6d351135c2451e37588784437ca76a817cae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $200.96
- Realized PnL
- $13.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $49.69
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $51.32
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $50.92
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?No 98.4% 22.82 shares