Polymarket Trader

whitefather88

0xf5f609f8626a72fffc63348a23947c13a4d9a2d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $612.02
Realized PnL: $18.17
Win rate: 82.6%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $530.21
Potential payout: $612.96
Potential profit: $82.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $21.21

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $30.42
Potential payout: $31.67
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $11.85
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $10.29
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.8

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

No position

Erdoğan out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 11.85 shares
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Yes 96.6% 10.35 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Yes 99.6% 10.54 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 92% 10.87 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 80.2% 361.43 shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 80% 51.25 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 89.1% 143.68 shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 88.3% 56.59 shares
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?

Yes 76% 6.58 shares