No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $453.33
- Potential profit
- $453.11
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
Douglas.s.1
0xf60dedc9d7104690c84462d425686d72d1495fbf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.15
- Realized PnL
- $140.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $78.73
- Potential profit
- $76.88
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$21.77
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $40.29
- Potential profit
- $39.24
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$14.76
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $33.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $9.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $39.99
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.76
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $11.2
N
No position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
N
No position
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 453.33 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 643.17 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 610 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 18.1% 7 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 9% 18 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 25 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 34.7% 15.17 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Yes 33.8% 3.11 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?Yes 35% 4.35 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 28.1% 10.64 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Yes 27% 4.56 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Yes 32.2% 3.11 shares