No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$13
Polymarket Trader
kirit4
0xf60fb8fa9df77178ce3b2a0efc86d28ec4e957a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $372.13
- Realized PnL
- $271.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$15.73
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.88
- Potential profit
- $212.88
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.75
- Potential profit
- $168.75
- User PnL
- -$40
Novak Djokovic position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $91.86
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $24.42
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $41.86
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.55
- Potential profit
- $86.55
- User PnL
- -$9.52
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $60.41
- Potential payout
- $61.8
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.42
- Potential profit
- $59.42
- User PnL
- -$19.61
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $45.19
- Potential payout
- $49.39
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $35.07
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $36.88
- Potential payout
- $42.39
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $41.69
- Potential payout
- $42.26
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $40.33
- Potential profit
- $36.1
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $29.81
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $32.73
- Potential profit
- $32.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $26.96
- Potential payout
- $27.98
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.96
N
No position
Will Trump say "Egg" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.02
- Potential profit
- $24.02
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Trump say "President Xi" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.07
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.93
No position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.68
N
No position
Will Trump say "Beef" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
No position
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.08
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.38
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69% 40.33 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 88% 37.5 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 83% 48.19 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 81% 49.39 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 61.1% 32.72 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 71.5% 27.98 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 80.9% 61.8 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No 96.4% 31.13 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 78% 11.76 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 97.1% 35.29 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 93.8% 41.55 shares