Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$140
Polymarket Trader
Skip-Earthwax
0xf6129c47f5ef4cab25f3aa67b5e3aaac77b15700
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $161.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.68K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.81K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.38K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56K
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
Yes position
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Yes position
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
Ends May 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
Will a Republican win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Will the median gas price per blob be <0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
Ends Jan 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1526430.04x
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 14% 999.99 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 65% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97.4% 2,297.85 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 78% 1,515.01 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No 97.5% 950.13 shares
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes 96% 318.97 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No 95.6% 200 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 90.8% 752.91 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No 97% 209.82 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No 97.5% 444 shares
- Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No 97.9% 221.99 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 90.9% 50 shares