Polymarket Trader

rufrsx

0xf61b1964c842ebdec0f4af68fb0b9fdb931eaea3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $177.54
Realized PnL: $3.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $177.54
Potential payout: $185.91
Potential profit: $8.37
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.16
Potential profit: $153.16
User PnL: -$121

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wild position

Wild vs. Rangers

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Rockets position

Cavaliers vs. Rockets

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Seahawks position

Texans vs. Seahawks

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.21

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

No 97.9% 133.71 shares
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 125.67 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 88% 13.96 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 98.6% 111.58 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 95.7% 65.83 shares
West Ham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 1,633.11 shares
Wild vs. Rangers

Wild 45% 3,072.11 shares
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?

No 99.3% 10.15 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

No 96% 20.02 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?

No 97.7% 29.13 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Yes 93.4% 28.47 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?

No 99.8% 26.58 shares