Polymarket Trader

Murphy-test

0xf61d97a10556d95260bf3956381225938667cadd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $487.69
Realized PnL: $3.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$96.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $110.1
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $61.99

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$19.3

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.14
Potential profit: $688.14
User PnL: -$48.17

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $663.45
Potential profit: $663.45
User PnL: -$19.24

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $653.73
Potential profit: $653.73
User PnL: -$48.17

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.25
Potential profit: $602.25
User PnL: -$48.18

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $109.78
Potential payout: $585.52
Potential profit: $475.73
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.88
Potential profit: $565.88
User PnL: -$9.62

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $175.09
Potential payout: $544.6
Potential profit: $369.51
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $27.94

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.56
Potential profit: $535.56
User PnL: -$48.2

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.56
Potential profit: $535.56
User PnL: -$48.2

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505.56
Potential profit: $505.56
User PnL: -$19.25

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.54
Potential profit: $486.54
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $482.1
Potential profit: $482.1
User PnL: -$48.21

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.39
Potential profit: $420.39
User PnL: -$19.25

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $92.72
Potential payout: $412.1
Potential profit: $319.38
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402
Potential profit: $402
User PnL: -$48.24

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.15
Potential profit: $371.15
User PnL: -$48.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.87
Potential profit: $348.87
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.79
Potential profit: $344.79
User PnL: -$48.27

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.79
Potential profit: $344.79
User PnL: -$48.27

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.87
Potential profit: $321.87
User PnL: -$48.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.42

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.66

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.76

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.9

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.17

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.78

Yes position

Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.61

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.87

Oleksandra Oliynykova position

Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.33

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.41

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.27

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.14

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Moise Kouame position

Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.69

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.38

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.27

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.98

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.38

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Giles Hussey position

Centurion: Orel Kimhi vs Giles Hussey

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.42

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.58

FC Nantes position

Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 78.95 shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Colorado Rockies 74% 110.65 shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Colorado Rockies 44% 110.66 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Bilibili Gaming 39% 124.67 shares
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers 57% 85.75 shares
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

PlayTime 49% 142.79 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 210.39 shares
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

PlayTime 34% 142.79 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

G2 Esports 52% 93.85 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 1,850.38 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?

Yes 1% 156.58 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?

Yes 6% 322.03 shares