Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $93.73
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $112.27
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Polymarket Trader
kapitann
0xf628efbc76f2812db1a1aec68ed5d346150c7ff9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.73
- Realized PnL
- $14.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.16
- Potential profit
- $17.16
- User PnL
- -$16.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.16
- Potential profit
- $17.16
- User PnL
- -$16.99
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.16
- Potential profit
- $17.16
- User PnL
- -$16.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.08
- Potential profit
- $10.08
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 0.01 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Yes 18% 133 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 28% 100 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 74.2% 63 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 53.8% 5.41 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 85% 200 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 12% 40 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 63% 12 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 32% 3 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 150.05 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 38% 5 shares