Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Polymarket Trader
Alelthas
0xf63840fa6116b40a1c6f8f667372ddc8b8a52d28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.89
- Realized PnL
- $238.1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $138.59
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $970.14
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.76
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $90.42
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$6.08
Yes position
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $32.86
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $22.58
- Potential profit
- $18.85
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $12.74
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.91
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.81
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.79
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $19.47
Yes position
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?
Ends May 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,397.18 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 14% 21.43 shares
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes 5.9% 33.9 shares
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 0.5% 272.25 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 13% 587.31 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 20% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?Yes 7.2% 13.97 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes 42.9% 4.66 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes 21.5% 9.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 22.58 shares