No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $862.07
- User PnL
- -$500
Polymarket Trader
salua
0xf6395f4a37587632272be7477e2fdf6fce6ed967
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.01
- Realized PnL
- $6.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $201.39
- Potential payout
- $601.15
- Potential profit
- $399.77
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$32.61
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $103.93
- Potential payout
- $145.36
- Potential profit
- $41.43
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $30.33
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $16.49
- Potential payout
- $22.28
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $20.99
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.16
- Potential profit
- $21.16
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.74
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.4
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.32
No position
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.92
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.3
No position
Will Russia capture Udachne before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.07
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.78
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.08
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.62
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.26
No position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.33
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.5
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.56
No position
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.01
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.5
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.45
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.7
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.7
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.18
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.68
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?No 91% 21.98 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?No 71.8% 22.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?No 92% 32.61 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No 68.8% 145.36 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 38.9% 601.15 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 85% 35.29 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 94.5% 21.16 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?No 93.6% 21.37 shares
- Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?No 94% 21.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?No 93.8% 53.33 shares