Polymarket Trader

0xf63a...d769

0xf63a5281fa5fb7a58d5e0e44ba935730c1d7d769

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $551.96
Realized PnL: $1.71K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $47.21
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $163.18
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $210.74
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $950.35
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $87.62

Yes position

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $45.18
Potential payout: $695.13
Potential profit: $649.95
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $34.77
Potential payout: $655.98
Potential profit: $621.21
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $337.96
Potential profit: $330.19
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $16.58
Potential payout: $288.43
Potential profit: $271.84
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $244.76
Potential profit: $244.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $194.46
Potential profit: $183.67
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $174.96
Potential profit: $174.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $168.94
Potential profit: $164.97
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.71
Potential payout: $154.22
Potential profit: $146.51
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $47.67
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $2.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $792.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.98

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.46

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.39

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.1%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $50.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.49

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.41

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.12

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.97

Over position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 1,311.54 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 37.04 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 170.25 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 71.96 shares
Obama arrested before 2027?

Yes 6.9% 251.64 shares
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Yes 7% 257.86 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 49.38 shares
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Yes 7% 386.71 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 308.64 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 71.43 shares