0xf63d...c601

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $23.46
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $22.54
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$3.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $27.08
Potential payout: $30.62
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $7.76
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $8.55
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.36
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $4.02
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $3.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $3.28
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $2.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?