Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $21.84K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
MoeZart
0xf648cf9666812d2c93c966a95c8a268b7cd88232
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.74K
- Realized PnL
- $8.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $118.75
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.38K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.91K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$49.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.34K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $660
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $220.07
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $944.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $998
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $5
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $476.91
- Potential payout
- $521.21
- Potential profit
- $44.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $13.03
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$160
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $478.24
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $15.75
No position
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $417.49
- Potential payout
- $466.47
- Potential profit
- $48.98
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715.83
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.79
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.29
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.71
No position
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.2
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.99
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.22
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $22.7
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 47% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 77% 587.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1.4% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 85.5% 112.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.7% 5,224.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.7% 618 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 6% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.7% 99.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.3% 250 shares
- Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No 88% 7.38 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 79% 222.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 2,999.95 shares