Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.3
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Polymarket Trader
danisiq
0xf65149834dae083660b089a6223efc942c5886b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.37
- Realized PnL
- $373.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.78
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $30.78
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $17.99
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $15.02
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.1%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.87
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Over position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 6?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 9.9 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.1% 5.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on July 6?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 6?No 99.9% 5 shares