No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $44.91
- Potential payout
- $86.36
- Potential profit
- $41.45
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.09
Polymarket Trader
0xf656FbA80f30D4525012015f6457236Fd014782A-1773128024779
0xf656fba80f30d4525012015f6457236fd014782a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.84
- Realized PnL
- $179.19
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $8.27
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $47.83
No position
Will SOFR hit 3.76% (High) between March 1 and March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (April 5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will the Rolex Index hit $11,750 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
X Money released by April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Will Russia enter Svitle by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will Trump post "Department of Defense" or "DoD" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 11 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 64% 15 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 45% 8.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 34% 14.97 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 24% 6.08 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 57.9% 86.36 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 57% 8.14 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 78% 2.03 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 10.03 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 41% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 33% 8.12 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares