Polymarket Trader

0xf658...dcfe

0xf658449199d0bcf544de0ff928a3b66685f3dcfe

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $978.98
Realized PnL: $13.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $10.2K
User PnL: -$42.54

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.83K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $30.94

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $606.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$51.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$690

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$360

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$65.95

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$571.15

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$41.6

No position

Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $911.65
Potential profit: $911.65
User PnL: -$476.91

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $129.69
Potential payout: $741.09
Potential profit: $611.4
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675.86
Potential profit: $675.86
User PnL: -$115.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $657.54
Potential profit: $657.54
User PnL: -$82.03

No position

Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $631.88
Potential profit: $631.88
User PnL: -$269.07

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$197.86

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $587.32
Potential profit: $587.32
User PnL: -$35.24

No position

Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Be Best" during executive order signing events on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535
Potential profit: $535
User PnL: -$33.55

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$89.93

No position

Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.58
Potential profit: $493.58
User PnL: -$108.59

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Corpus Christi on Friday?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$136.4

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $68.04
Potential payout: $432
Potential profit: $363.96
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$26.88

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "107 Days" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.66
Potential profit: $410.66
User PnL: -$52.47

Yes position

Will anyone say "Tylenol" during South Park's prediction market episode?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403
Potential profit: $403
User PnL: -$115.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.62

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $848.72

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.42

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.85

No position

Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.82

Yes position

Will Powell say "Chair" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.2

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.74

No position

Will Trump say "Putin" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.37

No position

Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.54

No position

Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during executive order signing events on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.33

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.52

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.38

No position

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.12

No position

Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.52

No position

Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.74

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.5

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.29

No position

Will Trump say "Too late" during Fed chair announcement?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.21

No position

Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 50% 195.93 shares
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 8.8% 261.66 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 56.6% 23.12 shares
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?

No 34% 79.98 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 37.7% 60.46 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 16.5% 741.09 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 34% 193.88 shares
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?

No 28% 40.79 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 432 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 28% 206.99 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 4% 200 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 4.2% 800 shares