Lawaa

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$142.8

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$25.2

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$124.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$475

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.94
Potential profit: $999.94
User PnL: -$83.99

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$4

Suns position

Suns vs. Raptors

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718.68
Potential profit: $718.68
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690
Potential profit: $690
User PnL: -$20.01

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689
Potential profit: $689
User PnL: -$48.23

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670
Potential profit: $670
User PnL: -$100.5

Yes position

US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$149.5

Timberwolves position

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630.01
Potential profit: $630.01
User PnL: -$377.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$117

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.99

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.05

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Heat

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.48

Thunder position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.19

Thunder position

Timberwolves vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.12

Timberwolves position

Suns vs. Timberwolves

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.06

Lakers position

Nuggets vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.73

Raptors position

Pistons vs. Raptors

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.93

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.61

No position

Will Trump say "Slave" or "Slavery" during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.99

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.25

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Timberwolves

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET