Polymarket Trader

bkbtpout

0xf65dc0d509a0176306a60e07b3dcd6e4f4bfb385

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $96.46
Realized PnL: $2.35
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.2
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.06
Potential profit: $86.06
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $17.24
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $32.76
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$11.76

No position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Christian Pulisic score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $38.25
Potential profit: $33.09
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above $12.25B?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.60?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.2B?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $7.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $4.34
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.66
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $2.51
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Ends Sep 25, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $2.16
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $2.15
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91.6%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.3B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Austria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will George Lombard be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.8%
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Lisandro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be at least 21 cents?

No 84% 10.58 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 28% 50 shares
Will Lisandro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 16.39 shares
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be below 18 cents?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be at least 21 cents?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 18 and 19 cents?

Yes 16% 20 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?

Yes 15% 50 shares
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Yes 33% 40 shares
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?

No 67.4% 20 shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Yes 34% 40 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 78.6% 100 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

No 90% 37.49 shares