Polymarket Trader

smartiz1989

0xf66bb1374fc6bcece37b9f562eb5f5bedc95b1d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.25K
Realized PnL: $10.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $8.75K
Potential profit: $7.22K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$838.98

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $697.31
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $3.4K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $299.58
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$794.07

No position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$46.36

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$235

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $168.26
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $842.32
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$231.74

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $132
Potential payout: $799.97
Potential profit: $667.98
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$191.99

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $107.61
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $109.78
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $59.21
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $9.21

Under position

Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $929.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $892.71

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.18

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $477.37

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.57

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $445.6

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.64

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $398.73

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $330.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $321.45

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.57

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.07

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.71

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $226.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.59

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.91

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $124.35

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.82

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.38

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 46% 217.39 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Over 5.1% 50 shares
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Over 99.9% 25 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 76% 65.79 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Over 99% 50 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5

Over 28% 50 shares
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5

Over 77% 25 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5

Over 13% 50 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Over 76% 25 shares
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals

Yes 99.9% 30 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 75% 40 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 99% 20 shares