Polymarket Trader

madd1s0n

0xf66e16c392277de6d13b95e32fe843f50cf27dcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.9K
Realized PnL: $394.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $178.13
Potential payout: $20.96K
Potential profit: $20.78K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$32.76

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $327.67
Potential payout: $15.31K
Potential profit: $14.98K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $44.43

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $288.26
Potential payout: $14.78K
Potential profit: $14.49K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$139.35

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $109.58
Potential payout: $12.89K
Potential profit: $12.78K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$78.85

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $80.79
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.42K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$31.67

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $374.06
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $6.82K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $108.02

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $32.65
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $26.79
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $25.12
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$10.91

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 68.8%
Current value: $803.99
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $365.45
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $591.01

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $232.61
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $893.82
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$40.3

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $8.82
Potential payout: $928.83
Potential profit: $920.01
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $10.67
Potential payout: $928.08
Potential profit: $917.41
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $907.25
Potential profit: $900.45
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $869.31
Potential payout: $875
Potential profit: $5.69
User PnL: $4.81

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $20.91
Potential payout: $760.5
Potential profit: $739.59
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $696.56
Potential payout: $719.96
Potential profit: $23.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $21.34

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $657.44
Potential profit: $650.87
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$8.86

No position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $572.33
Potential payout: $582.52
Potential profit: $10.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $486.66
Potential profit: $479.85
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $22.86
Potential payout: $217.7
Potential profit: $194.84
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$62.68

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $172.99
Potential profit: $170.91
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$9.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.2%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $52.99

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $41.17

No position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.03

No position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.7

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

No position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

No position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 89.6%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $20.21

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.41

No position

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.75

No position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

No position

Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

No position

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $7.28

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

No position

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Yes 50% 38.2 shares
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Yes 50% 38.19 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.7% 37.5 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.4% 96.75 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3% 96.74 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 18% 56.25 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.3% 408.99 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 10.79 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 0.86 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 10.22 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 6.59 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 5.9 shares